Wednesday, July 20, 2005

Bronson or Burnett?

Two years ago AJ Burnett had Tommy John surgery, at the age of just 26. He gives up more walks than Bronson Arroyo, but offsets that with his huge strike out total and fewer hits allowed. When it comes to numbers, at first glance, Burnett clearly looks like the winner. But Burnet pitches in the National League and in a pitcher's park. Arroyo, on the other hand, pitches in the tougher AL, and in a hitter's park. The big question is - is Burnett a durable investment? He made only 4 starts in 2003 before injuring his elbow, and then just 20 starts upon his return last year. However, he's already made 19 starts this season. Another consideration; Burnett is a free agent at seaon's end and will command a hefty contract. Arroyo isn't up for free agency until after the 2008 season. Here's a comparison of the two:

Bronson Arroyo:
Age 28
W/L 8-5
ERA 4.05
Hits / IP 121 / 122
HR 14
BB 27
SO 68

AJ Burnett:
Age 28
W/L 6-6
ERA 3.68
Hits / IP 111 / 124
HR 9
BB 47
SO 120


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